AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Spain Copa del ReyTuesday, December 16, 2025 at 8:00 PM UTC20:00
GUA

Guadalajara S.A.D.

Win Probability: 5%
Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 8:00 PM UTC
0-3
AI Prediction
Barcelona Win
High confidence
BAR

Barcelona

Win Probability: 95%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Guadalajara S.A.D. Wins
N/A
Draws
N/A
Barcelona Wins
N/A
Last Meeting
ScoreN/A
ResultN/A
Predictions
Match ResultBarcelona Win
High1.08
Correct Score0-3
Medium6.0
Both Teams To ScoreNo
Medium1.739
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals
High1.29
AI Match Analysis

The analysis for this match is straightforward due to the significant disparity between the two clubs. Guadalajara S.A.D., a team from the Primera Federacion, faces the monumental task of hosting one of Europe's elite. While they have the home advantage and the motivation that comes with a historic cup tie, their recent league form has been poor. [18] Conversely, Barcelona is enjoying a period of excellent results, winning five consecutive games and scoring prolifically. [10] Key attackers like Ferran Torres and Lamine Yamal are in form. While Barcelona will be missing key players like Gavi and Ronald Araujo, the depth of their squad is more than sufficient to cope. [4] Manager Hansi Flick is expected to rotate his lineup, but the players coming in will be eager to impress and will still represent a massive step up in quality from what Guadalajara faces weekly. Tactically, expect a one-sided affair with Barcelona controlling the ball and Guadalajara defending deep. The primary question is not whether Barcelona will win, but by how many goals. The odds reflect this, with an away win priced at a minuscule 1.08. A clean sheet for Barcelona is probable, making a 0-3 correct score prediction a logical choice with attractive odds.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Correct Score of 0-3 at 6.0 odds offers decent returns for a highly plausible outcome.
  • Both Teams to Score: No at 1.739 odds seems a solid choice given the gulf in quality between the two sides.
Risky Bets
  • Guadalajara Home Win at 15.0 or a Draw at 8.5 are extremely high-risk, requiring a monumental upset.
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes at 2.0 odds is risky but could pay off if Barcelona's rotated defense concedes a consolation goal in a spirited cup tie atmosphere.
Guadalajara S.A.D. Overview

Guadalajara S.A.D. competes in the Primera Federacion, the third tier of Spanish football. They enter this Copa del Rey clash as massive underdogs. [18] Their league form has been inconsistent, and they currently find themselves in a relegation battle. [18] This match against a giant like Barcelona is the biggest event in the club's recent history and will be played at their modest 6,000-capacity Estadio Pedro Escartin. [18] They reached this stage by defeating AD Ceuta. [20]

Tactical Notes

Manager Pere Martí, a former defensive midfielder, will almost certainly set his team up to be defensively compact and difficult to break down. [18] Their strategy will likely revolve around absorbing pressure, frustrating Barcelona's attack, and hoping to create chances on the counter-attack or from set-pieces. Success will depend on immense defensive discipline and organization.

Key Players

No key players listed.

Barcelona Overview

Barcelona enters this cup tie in scintillating form, having won their last five matches across all competitions. They are currently leading La Liga and have showcased their offensive firepower by scoring 15 goals in those five wins. [10] This will be the first-ever meeting between the two clubs. [20] Despite some significant injuries, the squad possesses more than enough quality to handle a third-tier opponent.

Tactical Notes

Barcelona will dominate possession from the outset, looking to control the tempo of the game. We can expect manager Hansi Flick to rotate his squad, giving opportunities to fringe players and youngsters. However, the fundamental attacking philosophy will remain the same: high pressing, quick passing, and relentless pressure on the Guadalajara defense to force an early breakthrough.

Key Players

Robert LewandowskiFerran TorresLamine YamalRaphinha

Injuries

GaviOut with a knee injury until early 2026.
Dani OlmoOut with a shoulder injury until January 2026.
Ronald AraujoOut for personal reasons with an unknown return date.
Marc-Andre ter StegenRecovering from a back operation, return date uncertain.
Last 5 Matches - Guadalajara S.A.D.
13
LReal Madrid II
1-32025-12-13
07
WOsasuna II
1-02025-12-07
02
WAD Ceuta
1-02025-12-02
29
DPontevedra
1-12025-11-29
22
LAthletic Bilbao U21
2-32025-11-22
Last 5 Matches - Barcelona
13
WOsasuna
2-02025-12-13
09
WEintracht Frankfurt
2-12025-12-09
06
WReal Betis
5-32025-12-06
02
WAtletico Madrid
3-12025-12-02
29
WDeportivo Alaves
3-12025-11-29

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