AI Match Analysis & Predictions

North American. Leagues CupMonday, August 4, 2025 at 12:30 AM UTC00:30
MON

Monterrey

Win Probability: 55%
Monday, August 4, 2025 at 12:30 AM UTC
completed
2-1
Prediction: 2-1
AI Prediction
Monterrey Win
Result: Monterrey Win
High confidence
NEW

New York Red Bulls

Win Probability: 25%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Monterrey Wins
N/A
Draws
N/A
New York Red Bulls Wins
N/A
Last Meeting
ScoreN/A
ResultN/A
Predictions
Match ResultMonterrey Win
Medium2.1
Correct Score2-1
Low7.5
Both Teams To ScoreYes
High1.53
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals
Medium1.615
AI Match Analysis

This match presents a classic clash of styles and circumstances. Monterrey, a giant of Mexican football, is under pressure to perform after a surprising 3-2 loss to FC Cincinnati. Their offensive capabilities are not in doubt, with players like Germán Berterame and Sergio Canales capable of unlocking any defense. The primary concern lies in their own defensive stability, having conceded three goals at home. They cannot afford another slip-up if they wish to advance. On the other side, the New York Red Bulls defied expectations with a 1-0 win over Guadalajara, thanks to a late moment of magic from star man Emil Forsberg. That victory will have injected significant morale into the squad. However, their well-documented struggles in away matches in MLS and a troubling number of injuries to key players present major obstacles. Their best path to a result is to successfully implement their high-press system, creating chaos and capitalizing on any mistakes from the Monterrey backline. While the Red Bulls have the potential to make this a difficult evening for the hosts, Monterrey's need for a result, combined with their home-field advantage and deeper talent pool, points towards a home victory, though likely without a clean sheet.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Both Teams to Score (Yes) at 1.53 offers good value. Monterrey's defense has been leaky, while the Red Bulls will be confident after scoring against a Liga MX opponent.
  • New York Red Bulls Double Chance (X2) at 1.72 could be a worthwhile consideration for those looking for an upset, given Monterrey's recent loss and the Red Bulls' winning momentum.
Risky Bets
  • A straight New York Red Bulls win at 3.17 is a high-risk proposition due to their extensive injury list and poor overall away form in their domestic league.
  • Correct Score of 2-1 to Monterrey. While it aligns with the overall analysis, predicting the exact score is inherently difficult and carries high odds for a reason.
Monterrey Overview

Monterrey enters this Leagues Cup fixture as one of the traditional powerhouses of Liga MX. They possess a squad deep with attacking talent, but their recent form has been a mixed bag. After losing their opening tournament match 3-2 to FC Cincinnati, they will be under pressure to secure a victory at home to keep their advancement hopes alive. Their recent league performances have shown both their offensive firepower and defensive vulnerabilities.

Tactical Notes

Expect Monterrey to control possession and apply consistent offensive pressure, utilizing their skilled midfielders to create chances for their potent forward line. Tactically, they favor an attacking approach, but this can leave them exposed to fast counter-attacks, a weakness the New York Red Bulls may look to exploit. Their ability to convert chances while shoring up their defense will be critical.

Key Players

Germán BerterameSergio CanalesGerardo Arteaga

Injuries

Carlos SalcedoCruciate Ligament Injury
Lucas OcamposDoubtful (Recent Hamstring Issue)
New York Red Bulls Overview

The New York Red Bulls arrive with a surge of confidence after securing a hard-fought 1-0 away victory against Guadalajara in their tournament opener. This result was a bright spot in what has otherwise been an inconsistent season, particularly on the road in MLS play. The team is defined by its high-energy, pressing style of play, but they are hampered by a significant list of injuries to key personnel.

Tactical Notes

The Red Bulls will almost certainly deploy their signature high-press tactic from the opening whistle, aiming to disrupt Monterrey's rhythm and force turnovers in dangerous areas. Their success will depend on their ability to sustain this intensity for the full 90 minutes. Offensively, they will look to their star playmaker Emil Forsberg to create opportunities, likely from quick transitions and set-pieces.

Key Players

Emil ForsbergEric Maxim Choupo-Moting

Injuries

Cameron HarperKnee Injury
Roald MitchellKnee Injury
Marcelo MoralesKnee Injury
Lewis MorganThigh Injury
Dylan NealisMuscle Injury
Last 5 Matches - Monterrey
31
LCincinnati
2-32025-07-31
27
WAtlas Guadalajara
3-12025-07-27
19
WAtletico San Luis
1-02025-07-19
13
LPachuca
0-32025-07-13
02
LBorussia Dortmund
1-22025-07-02
Last 5 Matches - New York Red Bulls
31
WGuadalajara
1-02025-07-31
27
LChicago Fire
0-12025-07-27
19
LInter Miami
1-52025-07-19
16
WNew England Revolution
5-32025-07-16
12
LPhiladelphia Union
0-22025-07-12
Match Result Analysis
Final Score2-1
Match Result Correct
Correct Score Correct
Both Teams To Score Correct
Total Goals Correct
Overall Accuracy4/4 (100%)

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