The core of this prediction hinges on the significant off-field issues impacting Western United. The confirmation of a FIFA-imposed registration ban that sidelines captain Ben Garuccio and new attacker Jaiden Kucharski is a massive blow. This disruption to their squad cohesion and leadership cannot be overstated, especially in the first competitive match of the season. While they finished third in the league last year and won their last encounter against Sydney 1-0, they are now a weakened side. Sydney FC, in contrast, appears to be in a more stable position. Key defender Alex Grant is returning from injury, and the club has successfully integrated new signings like Al Hassan Toure and Paul Okon Jnr, who are available for this match. Their history as two-time winners of this cup demonstrates their capability in knockout formats. The head-to-head record is tight, but recent history shows a trend for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.2 goals per match over the last 15 meetings. Given Western United's defensive vulnerabilities without their captain and Sydney's attacking options, goals are expected. The most probable outcome is a victory for the visiting Sky Blues, who are better positioned to capitalize on their opponent's unfortunate circumstances.