AI Match Analysis & Predictions
Parma
Bologna 1909
Parma enters this match in dismal form, having secured just two points from their last three matches, all without scoring a single goal. Their season-long offensive struggles are stark, with a league-low three goals. A significant injury crisis further compounds their problems, sidelining several key players. Historically, the head-to-head record is relatively even, but recent history must be contextualized by current team strength. Conversely, Bologna is in a rich vein of form. Their unbeaten streak and lofty league position are testaments to a well-balanced squad that is effective on both ends of the pitch. Riccardo Orsolini is in formidable goal-scoring form, providing a consistent threat. While they are missing key striker Ciro Immobile, they have demonstrated the depth to cope with his absence. The betting markets have correctly identified Bologna as the strong favorite, with the odds for an away win reflecting the gap in quality and momentum. Parma's primary hope will be to maintain defensive solidity and frustrate Bologna, but their inability to score makes it difficult to envision them securing even a draw.
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- Bologna to win at odds of 2.129 appears to hold significant value, given the stark contrast in form and league position between the two sides.
- Under 2.5 goals at 1.617 is a strong consideration. Parma has scored only three goals all season, and Bologna's defense is generally solid.
Risky Bets
- A Parma Home Win at 4.195 is a high-risk wager. While they earned a 2-0 victory in the last home meeting, their current form and extensive injury list make a repeat performance highly unlikely.
- Correct score of 0-2 at odds of 8.0. While a Bologna clean-sheet victory is plausible, predicting the exact scoreline is inherently difficult.
Parma finds themselves in a difficult position, sitting 15th in the Serie A table. Their form is poor, with only one win in their last eight league matches. Scoring has been a significant issue, as they have netted just three goals all season and have failed to score in six of their eight games. Their home form offers little comfort, with only one win at the Stadio Ennio Tardini. The team is burdened by a lengthy injury list, which further hampers their ability to find consistency.
Tactical Notes
Parma has struggled mightily in attack, reflected in their recent consecutive 0-0 draws. Away from home, they have yet to score a single goal this season. Manager Carlos Cuesta will likely set his team up to be defensively solid and difficult to break down, aiming to frustrate the visitors and capitalize on any rare counter-attacking opportunities. The front pairing of Mateo Pellegrino and Patrick Cutrone will carry the primary goal-scoring responsibility but have found service limited.
Key Players
Injuries
Bologna are enjoying a strong season, currently positioned 5th in Serie A and in contention for European qualification. They are in excellent form, riding a six-match unbeaten streak across all competitions. Their attack has been potent, with winger Riccardo Orsolini leading the league in scoring. Under coach Vincenzo Italiano, the team is well-drilled, capable of controlling possession and pressing high to win the ball back.
Tactical Notes
Bologna employs a fluid 4-2-3-1 formation that emphasizes defense but transitions quickly into attack. They are expected to dominate possession and apply pressure high up the pitch. The absence of striker Ciro Immobile is a blow, but Santiago Castro has stepped in, scoring in the recent 2-2 draw with Fiorentina. The creative burden will fall on Riccardo Orsolini, whose goal-scoring form makes him the primary threat. Bologna's ability to score consistently while remaining defensively organized will be key.