AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Russian CupThursday, July 31, 2025 at 4:30 PM UTC16:30
RUB

Rubin Kazan

Win Probability: 65%
Thursday, July 31, 2025 at 4:30 PM UTC
2-1
AI Prediction
Rubin Kazan Win
High confidence
ORE

Orenburg

Win Probability: 15%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Rubin Kazan Wins
4
Draws
1
Orenburg Wins
1
Last Meeting2025-05-24
Score4-2
ResultRubin Kazan Win
Predictions
Bet on
1xBet
Match ResultRubin Kazan Win
High1.84
Correct Score2-1
Low8.5
Both Teams To ScoreYes
Medium1.65
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals
Medium1.74
AI Match Analysis

Our analysis points towards a home victory for Rubin Kazan. Their current form is significantly superior to that of Orenburg, with three wins in their last five games compared to Orenburg's winless streak. Head-to-head history further solidifies this prediction; Rubin Kazan has won the last two meetings, including a convincing 4-2 victory just two months ago. The offensive statistics back the home side, who have been prolific in front of goal. Orenburg's recent goalless draws and losses indicate a struggle to convert chances, a weakness that will likely be exposed again. While we predict Rubin Kazan to win, their tendency to concede, coupled with the high average goals in past meetings (3.83 per game), suggests that Orenburg may find a consolation goal. Therefore, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Rubin Kazan appears to be the most logical outcome, aligning with predictions for a home win, both teams scoring, and the total goals exceeding 2.5.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Rubin Kazan to win and Both Teams to Score (BTTS). While a straight home win offers modest odds, combining it with BTTS increases the value, which is supported by the high-scoring nature of their recent head-to-head clashes.
Risky Bets
  • Orenburg Double Chance (2X) at odds of 2.02. Given Orenburg's poor form, backing them to get a draw or a win is a significant risk, but the odds reflect a high potential return should they manage to upset the home side.
Rubin Kazan Overview

Rubin Kazan enters this fixture in strong form, with an impressive recent run including three wins and two draws in their last five outings. They currently sit 7th in the early league standings after a solid 2-0 victory. The team has demonstrated a potent attack, scoring consistently in recent matches, highlighted by a 4-2 win over this same Orenburg side just a couple of months ago. Playing at home provides a significant advantage, where they have been particularly formidable.

Tactical Notes

Under manager Rashid Rakhimov, Rubin Kazan is expected to control the tempo of the match, leveraging their home advantage. Their attack has been effective, and they will likely look to exploit an Orenburg defense that has shown vulnerability. While strong offensively, they have conceded goals, including two in their recent draw with Zenit, suggesting they are not impenetrable at the back. Their main challenge will be to maintain defensive solidity while pressing for goals.

Key Players

Mirlind DakuRuslan BezrukovIgor Vujačić

Injuries

Daniil KuznetsovCruciate ligament tear
Uros DrezgicCruciate ligament tear
U. IwuMuscle injury
A. JukićLeg injury
Orenburg Overview

Orenburg is currently experiencing a difficult period, having failed to secure a win in their last five matches, a run that includes three losses and two draws. Their start to the season was a goalless draw, placing them in 10th position. Their form on the road has been a particular concern. The historical head-to-head record is relatively balanced, but recent encounters have favored Rubin Kazan, including a decisive loss in their last meeting.

Tactical Notes

Orenburg's tactical approach often involves attacking down the flanks and utilizing long balls. However, their primary weakness has been a lack of clinical finishing in front of goal. Defensively, they will need to be far more organized to withstand Rubin Kazan's attack, which proved too much for them in their last encounter. They may adopt a more cautious, counter-attacking strategy, aiming to absorb pressure and hit on the break.

Key Players

Jordhy ThompsonDanila KhotulevDmitry Rybchinsky

Injuries

Stepan OganesyanOut
Tomás MuroOut
Last 5 Matches - Rubin Kazan
27
DZenit Saint Petersburg
2-22025-07-27
20
WAkhmat
2-02025-07-20
12
WUral
1-02025-07-12
03
WYenisey Krasnoyarsk
1-02025-07-03
28
DKAMAZ
1-12025-06-28
Last 5 Matches - Orenburg
27
DDynamo Makhachkala
1-12025-07-27
21
DCSKA Moscow
0-02025-07-21
24
LRubin Kazan
2-42025-05-24
17
LKrasnodar
1-22025-05-17
10
DKhimki
1-12025-05-10

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