AI Match Analysis & Predictions
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Modern Sport
Our analysis points to a highly probable draw, a conclusion supported by multiple layers of data. The head-to-head history is the most compelling factor; three of the last six meetings between these clubs have been draws, and all have been exceptionally low-scoring affairs. The last five encounters have produced a total of just four goals. [1, 3] Al Ittihad's current form is a significant concern for them, having not won in their last five matches and struggling to score. [3] Conversely, Modern Sport has shown better recent results, including a win against Al Ittihad in their most recent meeting. [4] However, even with better form, they are facing a historical trend that is hard to ignore. The betting markets confirm this outlook. The odds for a draw (2.51) and an away win (2.53) are almost identical, indicating market uncertainty and acknowledging the strong possibility of a stalemate. Furthermore, the odds for 'Under 2.5 goals' (1.24) and 'Both Teams to Score: No' (1.436) are extremely short, reinforcing the statistical evidence of a cagey, low-scoring match. The most likely correct scores according to the odds are 0-0 and 0-1, which aligns perfectly with our prediction of a draw or a narrow, hard-fought result. Given Al Ittihad's struggles and the fixture's history, a 0-0 draw appears to be the most logical and well-supported prediction.
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- A draw at odds of 2.51 presents good value, considering that 50% of the last six direct encounters have ended in a draw.
- Under 1.5 total goals at 1.90 is an attractive option, as the last five head-to-head matches have seen an average of only 0.8 goals per game, and none have gone over 2.5 goals.
Risky Bets
- Al Ittihad to win at 3.465 is a high-risk bet due to their very poor recent form (one win in their last seven matches).
- Over 2.5 goals at 3.34 seems unlikely given the strong historical trend of low-scoring games between these two sides and the bookmakers heavily favoring the under market.
Al Ittihad Alexandria comes into this match in poor form, reflected by their recent record of LDDLD. They have struggled to find the back of the net and have been involved in several low-scoring affairs. Historically, their matches against Modern Sport are extremely tight, with a high propensity for draws. Their last victory in the previous five head-to-head encounters was in January 2024.
Tactical Notes
Expect Al Ittihad to adopt a cautious and defensive approach. Given their recent scoring difficulties and the tight nature of this fixture, they will likely focus on maintaining a solid defensive structure to avoid conceding. Their primary game plan will be to frustrate the opposition and capitalize on any set-piece opportunities or counter-attacks.
Key Players
Modern Sport enters this fixture with comparatively better form (DDWLW), including a recent 1-0 victory over Al Ittihad in May 2025. Despite this, their overall head-to-head record is very balanced, with a slight edge in wins. They have shown more attacking prowess recently than their opponents, but face a team against whom they have historically struggled to score freely.
Tactical Notes
Modern Sport will likely control more possession and attempt to break down a compact Al Ittihad defense. Their strategy will probably revolve around patient build-up play, looking to exploit the flanks. While they have better form, the historical data suggests they will find it difficult to create many clear-cut chances against a defensively organized opponent.