AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Scotland. Premier LeagueMonday, August 4, 2025 at 7:00 PM UTC19:00
HEA

Heart of Midlothian

Win Probability: 64%
Monday, August 4, 2025 at 7:00 PM UTC
completed
2-0
Prediction: 2-1
AI Prediction
Heart of Midlothian Win
Result: Heart of Midlothian Win
High confidence
ABE

Aberdeen

Win Probability: 25%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Heart of Midlothian Wins
1
Draws
2
Aberdeen Wins
3
Last Meeting2025-04-19
Score1-2
ResultAberdeen Win
Predictions
Match ResultHeart of Midlothian Win
Medium2.08
Correct Score2-1
Low8.5
Both Teams To ScoreYes
High1.63
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals
Medium1.77
AI Match Analysis

The syndicate's analysis points towards a home win for Heart of Midlothian, but not without considerable risk. Hearts' pre-season and League Cup campaign has been flawless, marked by a series of high-scoring victories that demonstrate potent attacking chemistry. Lawrence Shankland, in particular, enters the season in lethal form. The home advantage at a packed Tynecastle for the season's curtain-raiser is another major factor in their favor. However, this optimism is heavily tempered by significant personnel problems. The confirmed absence of defender Jamie McCart and the suspended Yan Dhanda, a creative force, are major blows. Furthermore, with key midfielders Calem Nieuwenhof and Beni Baningime facing fitness battles, the team's spine is potentially compromised. This could disrupt the rhythm that has served them so well in recent weeks. Aberdeen arrives with a psychological edge from their recent record in this fixture, proving they can win at this venue. Their form has been inconsistent, but they face a Hearts side that is not at full strength. The Dons will likely cede possession and look to hit on the break, a strategy that could pay dividends against a potentially makeshift Hearts defense. While the odds and form book point to a home victory, Aberdeen's resilience in this specific matchup and Hearts' depleted squad make an upset or a draw a distinct possibility. Our prediction for a 2-1 home win is based on the belief that Hearts' sheer firepower can overcome their personnel issues, but the confidence in this outcome remains moderate.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • Aberdeen or Draw (Double Chance 2x) at 1.76. This holds value due to Hearts' significant injury and suspension list, coupled with Aberdeen's strong recent head-to-head record against them.
  • Draw at 3.65. Given the conflicting factors of Hearts' form versus their personnel issues and Aberdeen's ability to get a result in this fixture, a stalemate is a very plausible outcome with attractive odds.
Risky Bets
  • Correct Score of 2-1 to Heart of Midlothian at 8.50. While plausible if the home side's quality shines through, predicting the exact score is inherently difficult.
  • Aberdeen to win at 3.38. This is a risk given their own inconsistent form, but it's a real possibility if Hearts' absences prove too much to overcome.
Heart of Midlothian Overview

Heart of Midlothian enters the Premiership opener in scintillating form, having won their last five matches decisively, primarily in the League Cup. They've been prolific, scoring 19 goals in that period. Playing at Tynecastle Park provides a significant advantage. However, their preparations are hampered by a growing list of personnel issues, which could test their squad depth from day one.

Tactical Notes

Expect Hearts to play a high-tempo, attacking game, leveraging their recent goal-scoring momentum. They will likely aim to dominate possession and press Aberdeen high up the pitch. The key will be how they adapt to the absence of key players in defense and midfield. Lawrence Shankland will be the focal point of their attack, and his clinical finishing will be crucial.

Key Players

Lawrence Shankland

Injuries

Jamie McCartOut
Calem NieuwenhofDoubtful
Beni BaningimeDoubtful
Christian BorchgrevinkDoubtful
Aberdeen Overview

Aberdeen's recent form is a mixed bag, with two wins and three losses in their last five outings. Despite their inconsistency, they boast a strong recent head-to-head record against Hearts, including a 2-1 victory at Tynecastle in their last encounter in April. They come into this match with fewer immediate injury concerns than their hosts, which could prove to be a key advantage.

Tactical Notes

Aberdeen will likely adopt a more pragmatic approach, aiming to stay compact and disciplined defensively to weather the expected early storm from Hearts. They will look to exploit Hearts' potential midfield and defensive frailties on the counter-attack. Their past success in this fixture suggests they have a game plan to frustrate the home side and capitalize on any mistakes.

Key Players

Graeme Shinnie

Injuries

Gavin MolloyOut
Ester SoklerOut
Sivert Heltne NilsenOut
Last 5 Matches - Heart of Midlothian
23
WDumbarton
4-02025-07-23
19
WStirling Albion
4-02025-07-19
15
WHamilton Academical
4-02025-07-15
12
WDunfermline Athletic
4-12025-07-12
04
WCrawley Town
3-12025-07-04
Last 5 Matches - Aberdeen
25
LIpswich Town
1-32025-07-25
12
WCove Rangers
2-02025-07-12
24
WCeltic
2-12025-05-24
17
LDundee United
1-22025-05-17
14
LCeltic
1-52025-05-14
Match Result Analysis
Final Score2-0
Match Result Correct
Correct Score Incorrect
Both Teams To Score Incorrect
Total Goals Incorrect
Overall Accuracy1/4 (25%)

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