AI Match Analysis & Predictions
Deportivo de La Coruna
Mallorca
This analysis anticipates a spirited Copa del Rey encounter where the home side, Deportivo de La Coruna, holds a narrow advantage. Deportivo has been in impressive goal-scoring form, particularly at their home ground, the Estadio Riazor. Their record of four wins in their last five matches contrasts with Mallorca's more inconsistent run of form, especially on the road. The historical head-to-head data also favors the home team in this fixture, a psychological factor that cannot be discounted. Mallorca, while playing in the top flight, will be hampered by the suspension of key midfielder Samu Costa. Their tactical approach often leans towards physicality, which could be a double-edged sword against a technically adept and motivated Deportivo side. The primary attacking threat for the visitors comes from Vedat Muriqi, whose prowess in the air will test the home defense. However, Deportivo's own attacking dynamo, Yeremay Hernández, is in fine form and will be crucial to unlocking Mallorca's defense. Given both teams' recent attacking success and defensive vulnerabilities, a scenario where both teams score seems highly probable. Ultimately, the combination of Deportivo's strong momentum, home support, and Mallorca's travel woes and personnel issues points towards a slender home victory.
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- Deportivo de La Coruna to win at 2.45. Despite being in a lower division, their excellent recent form and historical home dominance in this fixture suggest the odds may underestimate their chances.
- Both Teams to Score (Yes) at 1.91. Both teams have shown strong attacking output recently but have also been prone to defensive lapses, making goals on both ends a likely scenario.
Risky Bets
- Correct Score of 2-1 at 8.0. While plausible, predicting the exact score in a cup tie between teams from different divisions is inherently difficult and high-risk.
- Over 3.5 goals at 4.5. Although both teams can score, the odds heavily favor a lower-scoring match, making this a high-risk, high-reward wager.
Deportivo de La Coruna comes into this Copa del Rey tie in excellent overall form, despite a recent league loss to Castellon. Prior to that, they had put together a string of four consecutive victories across all competitions, showcasing strong attacking capabilities. Playing in a lower division, they will view this match against a La Liga side as a significant opportunity to make a statement. Their home advantage at the Estadio Riazor is a considerable factor, as evidenced by their strong home record in historical head-to-head encounters with Mallorca.
Tactical Notes
Under coach Antonio Hidalgo, Deportivo has demonstrated a proactive style, balancing pressing with technical build-up play. They are not afraid to shoot, registering a high number of shots in recent games. Expect them to be aggressive from the start, leveraging the home crowd's energy. Their key attacking threat, Yeremay Hernández, will be crucial with his creativity and goal-scoring ability. The team has shown they can score, netting two or more goals in four of their last five home matches.
Key Players
Injuries
Mallorca enters this cup fixture with mixed but respectable form from La Liga. Their recent record shows two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five outings. As the higher-division team, they possess quality and experience, but their away form has been poor this season. Key midfielder Samu Costa is suspended for this match, which will impact their lineup. They will rely on the physical presence and finishing of striker Vedat Muriqi to challenge the Deportivo defense.
Tactical Notes
Managed by Jagoba Arrasate, Mallorca is known for a physical style of play, which can lead to a high number of fouls and cards. They will likely aim to control the midfield and use their physicality to disrupt Deportivo's rhythm. The attack will probably focus on providing service to Vedat Muriqi, whose aerial ability is a significant threat. With key players like Sergi Darder creating chances, they have the offensive tools to score, but defensive inconsistencies have been an issue.