AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Netherlands Super CupSunday, August 3, 2025 at 4:00 PM UTC16:00
PSV

PSV Eindhoven

Win Probability: 82%
Sunday, August 3, 2025 at 4:00 PM UTC
3-1
AI Prediction
PSV Eindhoven Win
High confidence
GO

Go Ahead Eagles

Win Probability: 8%
Head-to-Head Statistics
PSV Eindhoven Wins
4
Draws
N/A
Go Ahead Eagles Wins
2
Last Meeting2025-03-01
Score3-2
ResultPSV Eindhoven Win
Predictions
Bet on
1xBet
Match ResultPSV Eindhoven Win
High1.22
Correct Score3-1
Medium9.5
Both Teams To ScoreYes
Medium1.63
Total GoalsOver 2.5 Goals
Medium1.7
AI Match Analysis

The analysis points overwhelmingly in favor of PSV Eindhoven. Their status as Eredivisie champions, combined with a flawless run in recent competitive matches and pre-season, establishes them as the clear favorites. The team's tactical approach, centered on high-intensity attacking football, should prove too much for the opposition. While the future of veteran striker Luuk de Jong is unclear, the appointment of Jerdy Schouten as captain signals stability, and the potential return of Ricardo Pepi adds another layer to their attack. Go Ahead Eagles' victory in the KNVB Beker was a remarkable feat, but they face a monumental task here. The club is unsettled by persistent transfer rumors surrounding Oliver Antman and Jakob Breum, the architects of their attacking play last season. This distraction, combined with their inconsistent pre-season form, puts them at a severe disadvantage. Historically, they have struggled immensely against PSV, and that trend is expected to continue. While they may find a consolation goal through a spirited counter-attack, preventing the PSV offensive machine from scoring multiple times seems highly unlikely.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • PSV -2.0 Asian Handicap at odds of 1.86. Given PSV's scoring record and home advantage, they are more than capable of winning by a significant margin.
  • Both Teams to Score: Yes at 1.63. While PSV is the clear favorite, Go Ahead Eagles have shown they can score in big moments and PSV's aggressive attack can leave them open at the back.
Risky Bets
  • Away Win or Draw (Double Chance 2x) at 4.40. This is highly improbable given the massive gap in quality, form, and historical results between the two sides.
  • Correct Score 0-1. Betting on a low-scoring Go Ahead Eagles win is extremely risky against a team that was as dominant as PSV last season.
PSV Eindhoven Overview

PSV Eindhoven enters this contest as the reigning Eredivisie champions and in formidable form, having won their last five competitive matches. Their pre-season has also been strong, recording victories in their friendly encounters. The team has appointed midfielder Jerdy Schouten as the new captain, though uncertainty surrounds the future of former skipper and top scorer Luuk de Jong. Historically, PSV has utterly dominated this fixture, winning the vast majority of encounters.

Tactical Notes

PSV employs an aggressive, attacking style of football, which saw them crowned champions. They are expected to dominate possession and apply high pressure from the outset. Their main strength lies in their offensive firepower and ability to create numerous scoring chances. The potential return of striker Ricardo Pepi from injury would further bolster their attacking options.

Key Players

Jerdy SchoutenRicardo PepiLuuk de Jong

Injuries

Sergiño DestKnee injury, long-term absentee
Ricardo PepiReturning from a knee injury, may be available
Go Ahead Eagles Overview

Go Ahead Eagles arrive as the KNVB Cup winners, a historic achievement for the club. However, their preparations for this Super Cup final have been overshadowed by intense transfer speculation surrounding their two most influential attacking players, Oliver Antman and Jakob Breum. Antman led the Eredivisie in assists last season, while Breum was a key source of goals. Their potential departure creates significant uncertainty. The team's recent form has been inconsistent, with mixed results in their pre-season friendlies.

Tactical Notes

Go Ahead Eagles will likely set up defensively, aiming to absorb pressure and hit PSV on the counter-attack. Their success in the cup was built on resilience and clinical finishing. However, the distraction of key players possibly leaving could impact team cohesion and their ability to execute their game plan against such a dominant opponent.

Key Players

Oliver AntmanJakob Breum

Injuries

Pim SaathofCruciate ligament tear, long-term absentee
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11
WFeyenoord
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Last 5 Matches - Go Ahead Eagles
19
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15
WPatro Eisden Maasmechelen
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11
LMechelen
2-52025-07-11
05
DHelmond Sport
1-12025-07-05
29
WSportfreunde Lotte
2-02025-06-29

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