AI Match Analysis & Predictions

Brazil. Campeonato Brasileiro. Serie AThursday, October 16, 2025 at 10:00 PM UTC22:00
GRE

Gremio Porto Alegrense

Win Probability: 35%
Thursday, October 16, 2025 at 10:00 PM UTC
completed
2-0
Prediction: 1-1
AI Prediction
Draw
Result: Gremio Porto Alegrense Win
High confidence
SAO

Sao Paulo

Win Probability: 35%
Head-to-Head Statistics
Gremio Porto Alegrense Wins
3
Draws
N/A
Sao Paulo Wins
3
Last Meeting2025-05-17
Score2-1
ResultGremio Porto Alegrense Win
Predictions
Match ResultDraw
Medium3.13
Correct Score1-1
Medium6.0
Both Teams To ScoreYes
Medium2.03
Total GoalsUnder 2.5 Goals
High1.54
AI Match Analysis

The pre-match analysis points towards a cagey and tactical battle at the Arena do Grêmio. Gremio's recent form of two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five outings suggests a team that is hard to beat but also struggles to consistently secure victories. Their home form will be a crucial factor, as they have historically performed well in front of their own supporters. However, they are facing a long list of injuries to key players across the pitch, which will undoubtedly affect their game plan and overall strength. Sao Paulo, on the other hand, comes into this fixture with a worrying run of form, having lost four of their last five matches. Their injury crisis is even more severe than Gremio's, with several first-team regulars, including key attacking players, sidelined. This will likely force them to adopt a more defensive and pragmatic approach, aiming to frustrate the hosts and hit them on the break. The head-to-head record between these two sides is perfectly balanced in recent meetings, with each team winning three of the last six encounters. This further reinforces the expectation of a tight and unpredictable match. Given the circumstances, a stalemate seems a likely result, with both teams struggling to find the cutting edge needed to claim all three points.

Key Betting Insights

Value Bets
  • A draw at odds of 3.13, given the evenly matched nature of the teams and their respective forms.
  • Both teams to score at 2.03, as both sides have shown defensive vulnerabilities.
Risky Bets
  • A correct score of 1-1 at 6.0, which is a specific outcome in what is expected to be a tight contest.
  • An away win for Sao Paulo, considering their poor recent form and extensive injury list.
Gremio Porto Alegrense Overview

Gremio comes into this match with inconsistent form, showing a mix of wins, draws, and a recent loss. Their home form has been a source of strength, but they face a tough opponent in Sao Paulo. The team has struggled with injuries, which could impact their depth and performance.

Tactical Notes

Gremio will likely rely on a solid defensive structure and look to capitalize on counter-attacking opportunities. The creativity of Franco Cristaldo in the midfield will be crucial in creating chances for their main goal scorer, Martin Braithwaite. Their success will depend on their ability to control the midfield and limit Sao Paulo's attacking threats.

Key Players

Martin BraithwaiteFranco CristaldoEdenilson

Injuries

WillianBroken foot
Tiago VolpiMuscle injury
F. BalbuenaBroken ankle
M. VillasantiCruciate ligament injury
Miguel MonsalveDislocated shoulder
Rodrigo ElyCruciate ligament injury
João PedroShoulder injury
Gustavo MartinsThigh injury
Andre MartinsMuscle injury
João LucasMuscle injury
Sao Paulo Overview

Sao Paulo's recent form has been poor, with a string of losses only recently broken by a win. They are currently dealing with a significant number of injuries to key players, which will test their squad's resilience. Despite their recent struggles, they possess the quality to trouble any team on their day.

Tactical Notes

Sao Paulo is expected to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on defensive solidity and trying to exploit any mistakes from the home side. With several key attackers out injured, they may rely more on set-pieces and long-range efforts to create scoring opportunities. The experience of Luciano Neves will be vital in leading their attack.

Key Players

Luciano NevesAndre SilvaLucas Moura

Injuries

Rafael TolóiThigh injury
N. FerraresiGroin injury
LuanThigh injury
André SilvaCruciate ligament injury
R. FranciscoCruciate ligament injury
J. CalleriCruciate ligament injury
Lucas MouraKnee injury
Marcos AntônioThigh injury
AlissonHip injury
R. ArboledaThigh injury
Last 5 Matches - Gremio Porto Alegrense
04
LRed Bull Bragantino
0-12025-10-04
02
DSantos
1-12025-10-02
28
WEC Vitoria Salvador
3-12025-09-28
24
DBotafogo de Futebol e Regatas
1-12025-09-24
21
WSport Club Internacional
3-22025-09-21
Last 5 Matches - Sao Paulo
05
LSociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
2-32025-10-05
02
WFortaleza EC
2-02025-10-02
29
LCeara
0-12025-09-29
25
LLiga Deportiva Universitaria de Quito
0-12025-09-25
21
LSantos
0-12025-09-21
Match Result Analysis
Final Score2-0
Match Result Incorrect
Correct Score Incorrect
Both Teams To Score Incorrect
Total Goals Correct
Overall Accuracy1/4 (25%)

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