AI Match Analysis & Predictions
Osasuna
Deportivo Alaves
Osasuna comes into this match with a notable psychological edge, having not lost to Alaves in their last 11 league encounters. Their recent form has been a mixed bag of results, but their victories in the Copa del Rey and against Levante show they can secure wins. The potential return of key midfielder Lucas Torro from injury will be a significant boost to their squad. Tactically, Osasuna is expected to leverage their home advantage, with Ante Budimir leading the line and looking to add to his goal tally. Deportivo Alaves, on the other hand, has struggled for consistency, particularly on their travels. Their recent defeats to top-tier teams like Real Madrid and Barcelona highlight their challenges against strong opposition. The absence of defender Jon Pacheco due to a shoulder injury could be a defensive concern. While Alaves has the potential to be a stubborn opponent, their historical record against Osasuna at the Estadio El Sadar is not in their favor. The odds reflect Osasuna as the favorites, and the data suggests a low-scoring match is probable. Given these factors, a narrow home victory for Osasuna seems the most likely outcome.
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- Osasuna to win at 2.377 odds, given their strong home record and unbeaten streak against Alaves in the league.
- Under 2.5 total goals at 1.578 odds, as head-to-head encounters between these teams have often been low-scoring affairs.
Risky Bets
- A 1-0 correct score for Osasuna at 6.0 odds, which is a plausible but narrow outcome.
- Deportivo Alaves to win at 3.635 odds, considering their poor away form and head-to-head record against Osasuna.
Osasuna enters this match in mixed form, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five outings. They currently sit 16th in the La Liga table. Historically, they have a strong home record against Alaves and have not lost in their last 11 league encounters. Their recent matches have often been lively, with a significant number of goals scored. The team will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage and improve their league standing.
Tactical Notes
Osasuna is expected to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation. Their attack will likely be spearheaded by Ante Budimir, who is their leading goal scorer. The team's recent games have seen a high number of goals, suggesting an attacking approach. However, they will need to be defensively solid to contain the Alaves counter-attack. The return of Lucas Torro from a minor injury should provide stability in midfield.
Key Players
Injuries
Deportivo Alaves comes into this fixture with inconsistent form, having won two and lost three of their last five matches. They currently occupy the 12th position in the league table. While they have struggled on the road this season, they have shown they can be a resilient side. Their recent head-to-head record against Osasuna has been challenging, and they will be aiming to break their winless streak against them.
Tactical Notes
Alaves is also likely to set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. They will need to be well-organized defensively to handle Osasuna's home pressure. Their attack will rely on the creativity and finishing of players like Carlos Vicente and Toni Martínez. Given Osasuna's recent high-scoring games, Alaves may look to exploit any defensive vulnerabilities on the counter-attack.