AI Match Analysis & Predictions
NAC Breda
Volendam
NAC Breda holds the position of bookmaker favorite, largely due to playing at their Rat Verlegh Stadion. Their recent form, however, is a cause for concern, showing just one win in their last five league matches. Defensively, they have been vulnerable throughout the campaign. Volendam presents an interesting challenge; they are riding a wave of momentum after back-to-back victories and will be eager to continue their climb away from the relegation zone. Their Achilles' heel has been their performance on the road, where they have secured only one victory all season. The head-to-head record does not strongly favor either side, but recent encounters suggest Volendam has had a slight edge, remaining unbeaten in the last five meetings. Considering NAC Breda's struggles at home and Volendam's poor away form, the most compelling angle is the likelihood of goals. Both teams have consistently conceded this season. This leads to the prediction of a 2-1 home win, acknowledging NAC Breda's favoritism while respecting Volendam's recent scoring form. The 'Both Teams to Score' and 'Over 2.5 Goals' markets appear to be the most solid plays from a betting perspective.
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- Both Teams to Score (BTTS): Yes - Priced at 1.76, this seems a strong value proposition. NAC Breda has kept only two clean sheets all season, while Volendam hasn't kept one in nine games. Both teams have shown they can find the net recently.
- Draw - At odds of 4.215, a draw holds significant value. NAC Breda's form is shaky despite being favorites, and they have drawn two of their last four matches. Volendam's recent wins give them momentum, making a stalemate a plausible outcome.
Risky Bets
- Volendam to Win - An away win is priced at a long 5.76. While Volendam is in better recent form, their dreadful away record for the season (only one win) makes this a high-risk wager.
- Correct Score 2-2 - For those seeking high returns, a 2-2 draw at odds of 14.0 is a risky but potentially rewarding bet, considering both teams' defensive weaknesses and recent scoring form.
NAC Breda enters this match in a precarious league position, currently sitting 16th in the Eredivisie table. Their recent form has been inconsistent, characterized by a mix of a win, draws, and losses (WLDDL). While they secured a crucial 1-0 away victory against Heracles in their last outing, they have struggled for wins, with just four victories in their 38 most recent Eredivisie games. At home, their record is poor, with a 54% loss rate this season. The team has managed only two clean sheets, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
Tactical Notes
NAC Breda will likely rely on their home advantage to control the tempo of the game. Offensively, they tend to create chances from wide areas. Key creative player Juho Talvitie, who has created the most big chances for the team (6), will be pivotal. However, defensively they have been suspect, and the absence of suspended defender Rio Hillen could further expose their backline. They will need to be organized to handle a Volendam side that has found its scoring touch.
Key Players
Injuries
Volendam comes into this fixture with a significant boost in morale, having won their last two Eredivisie matches, including an impressive 2-1 victory over PSV Eindhoven. This run of form has lifted them to 14th in the table. Despite their recent success, their overall away form is very poor, with just one win on the road all season. They have also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last nine matches, highlighting a persistent defensive issue.
Tactical Notes
Volendam is expected to arrive with confidence, aiming to leverage their recent attacking success. Playmakers like Brandley Kuwas and Robin van Cruijsen, who lead the team in goals and assists, will be central to their game plan. Given their poor away record and defensive frailties, they might adopt a counter-attacking strategy, looking to exploit the spaces left by NAC Breda. The absence of several players, including key forward Henk Veerman, could impact their offensive depth.