AI Match Analysis & Predictions
Mirassol
Sport Club Internacional
Mirassol enters this fixture as the deserving favorite, boasting an impressive unbeaten streak of 12 games on their home turf. Their performance this season sees them comfortably in the top four of the league. In their last five matches, they have secured two wins, suffered two defeats, and managed one draw, indicating a slight inconsistency they'll want to rectify. The return of midfielder Neto Moura from suspension is a timely boost, adding stability and creativity to their lineup. Conversely, Sport Club Internacional finds themselves in a precarious 15th position in the league, with their away performances being a major cause for concern. Their recent form mirrors Mirassol's with one win, two draws, and two losses. However, their struggles are compounded by a significant injury crisis, with several key players, including goalkeepers Sergio Rochet and Ivan, and defenders Gabriel Mercado and Bruno Gomes, sidelined. This severely weakens their defensive capabilities and overall team cohesion. The head-to-head record between these two sides is limited to a single 1-1 draw earlier in the season. However, the current circumstances, particularly Mirassol's home strength and Internacional's injury woes, point towards a home win. The odds reflect this, with Mirassol favored to take all three points. Given Mirassol's attacking stats at home and Internacional's defensive vulnerabilities, a match with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring is a strong possibility.
Key Betting Insights
Value Bets
- Mirassol to win at odds of 2.173, given their strong home form and Internacional's struggles on the road and extensive injury list.
- Over 2.5 goals at 2.121 seems a good value, as Mirassol's home games often feature goals and Internacional's defense has been leaky away from home.
Risky Bets
- A correct score of 2-1 for a Mirassol win at 8.5 odds presents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity.
- Sport Club Internacional to win at 3.5 is a risky proposition given their current form, injury crisis, and poor away record.
Mirassol comes into this match in impressive form, especially at home where they are unbeaten in their last 12 matches. Currently sitting 4th in the Serie A table, they have exceeded expectations this season. Their recent form is a bit mixed with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last five outings. Offensively they have been potent, but have shown some defensive frailties recently.
Tactical Notes
Mirassol is expected to leverage their strong home advantage, likely adopting an attacking formation from the outset. Their strength lies in their cohesive midfield and ability to create chances. The return of Neto Moura from suspension will be a significant boost to their midfield control. They will look to exploit an Internacional side that has struggled on the road.
Key Players
Injuries
Sport Club Internacional is having a difficult season, currently positioned 15th in the league standings. Their away form is particularly concerning, with a poor record on their travels. Their recent overall form shows one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five matches. They are struggling with a significant number of injuries to key players, which has impacted their consistency.
Tactical Notes
Internacional will likely set up cautiously, aiming to absorb pressure from the home side and hit on the counter-attack. With several key players missing through injury, they may adopt a more defensive posture than usual. Their success will hinge on the performance of their key forward, Rafael Borré, and their ability to remain organized at the back under pressure.